Jeff Clark's Market Minute

These Three Things Will Make You A Better Trader

When you talk about options, most people think of risk… Dangerous leverage… Speculation… Gambling…

I guess there is that aspect to it, if you don’t know what you’re doing.

See, most people don’t understand options. The reason they were created in the first place is to reduce risk. In fact, the original options were designed to help investors hedge their portfolios against bad moves in the market. Unfortunately, what’s happened over time is what happens to a lot of good ideas on Wall Street…options have morphed into a commission-generating vehicle they sell to folks as a way to get rich quick.

If you think trading options will help you get rich quick, I’ve got some bad news for you. While using options can make you a lot of money, it’s not going to happen overnight. Trading options is a process. And if you want to be in the options market for any length of time… you have to do it the “right way.”

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You see, the Chinese government decided to ban gas- and diesel-powered vehicles. That’s according to Xin Guobin, China’s vice minister of industry.

Which means the 28 million cars they sell every year will eventually all be electric. When it’s all said and done, that’s a 9,900% growth rate — essentially guaranteed by the Chinese government.

To meet the demand, China decided to build their own batteries for electric cars. And because they don’t have democratic processes that limit construction, the Chinese government is able to act quickly to reach its goals.

Imagine China’s battery factory — which is 50 times larger than Tesla’s, and can produce 25 million batteries a year vs. Tesla’s 500,000…

The fortunate but unfortunate part: China is on the verge of putting this metal toward extinction. Meaning there’s about to be a major global bidding war.

And it could send shares of one tiny mining stock through the roof.

Learning the “right way” to use options might involve a little extra effort on your part if you want to trade in the market successfully. But I can help you master the basics… I’ve traded options for nearly three decades. During that time, I’ve also been teaching folks just like you how to reduce their risk with options and add a little bit of “pop” to an otherwise conservative portfolio.

But before you get started, here are a few things you must keep in mind:

Truth No. 1: Buying and selling options is about the least risky and potentially most rewarding game on Wall Street.

Options master Victor Sperandeo racked up a nominal rate of return of 70.7% without a losing year between 1978 and 1989. With his astounding track record, we’d be foolish not to pay attention to what he has to say:

“Options are, many say, the riskiest game in town. Certainly they are by far the most challenging, flexible, and potentially profitable financial instruments available. But if you trade them prudently, if you apply sound principles of money management, trade only when the risk/reward ratio is highly in your favor, and execute your trades with diligence and patience, then in all likelihood you will be profitable over the long term. I can say, conservatively, that at least 40 percent of all the returns I’ve made in my life have been with options.”

Truth No. 2: Want to be a winner? Watch your losers!

To succeed in trading options, you really need to limit your trading to opportunities that have at least a 3-to-1 payout. A 5-to-1 reward-to-risk ratio, of course, is better. But at minimum, you want to have the potential to pocket $3 in return for every dollar you risk.

You accomplish many things by forcing a minimum 3-to-1 discipline on yourself. For one, it forces you to think in terms of reward and risk, which is extremely important. Most failed options traders, even ones that may have had good trading systems, fail because they didn’t pay enough attention to risk. If you’re willing to lose 50% on a position, you’d better be expecting a gain of 150% or more – at least. That’s a tall order.

If you’re willing to lose it all (meaning have the potential for a negative 100% return on a position), then you’d better be expecting a 300% to 500%-plus gain in that position.

When you see it in terms of risk versus reward, and you realize that 500% winners don’t come along every day, you can see that “risking it all” is a bad bet.

Options are a lot like poker. Your hand is only a small portion of the battle. Betting appropriately for the entire game is really what’s important, which leads us to…

Truth No. 3: Big winners make small bets.

You’ve got to know when to hold ‘em and when to fold ‘em. But you’d sure hate to fold ‘em and take a total loss with a big bet on the table… So don’t ever put yourself in that boat. Limit the size of your positions. You should only have 2%-3% of the money you’ve set aside for trading at risk on any one trade. We really can’t imagine any combination of circumstances where you should consider putting more than 10% of your trading money on one play. Don’t do it!

To end up like Vic Sperandeo over the long run, you’ve got to stick to the program. Limit the size of your positions. And limit your downside by never allowing a small loss to turn into a big loss. Traders who follow this have a chance of being winners in options over the long run. Those who don’t do this will be quickly drummed out of the club, taken for every penny.

Best regards and good trading,

Jeff Clark

Reader Mailbag

In today’s mailbag, a Delta Report subscriber shares their current trading position…

I am happy with your daily information on how the various indicators tend to show what will happen. I am basically an options trader. I will purchase the stock for lower dollar plays where I have learned the options do not fare well. Seem to get large spreads between the bid and ask.

I went in and out several times on a trade a while back. I did well, making small gains numerous times with the in and out. Seems I only have long trades at this time. On a day like today, my portfolio is 90% red. I am back down to the prices I paid so I am not really hurting, but it makes me think if there would be a prolonged downtrend I would take a serious hit.

– James

What have you learned since you started trading options? Do you have any “truths” that you follow?

And as always, you can send any other trading questions, suggestions, or stories to [email protected]. We read every email that comes through.

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Jeff Clark's Market Minute Archives

Jeff’s intuitive feel for short term market swings and his strong protective discipline have allowed me to lock in thousands of dollars in gains where I might otherwise have just ridden the markets up and down .”  -Chris, a reader and “seasoned investment advisor” from Seattle

Jeff -- your picks and analysis have been nothing short of amazing. I have traded the market for many years but I must admit, I have NEVER seen something this good.” - Mike H.

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I started following Delta Direct about 3 weeks ago… I bought a small investment from one afternoon to the next morning. About 11AM I got out and made 8K in less than 24 hours.” – D. Tilghman