Yesterday I discovered a turkey carcass on the hillside behind my house.

I guess coyotes celebrate Thanksgiving, too.

On the previous morning, I stood on my porch and watched a flock of wild turkeys scratching around my backyard, hunting for whatever it is that turkeys hunt for. It seemed odd to me that these birds felt so comfortable in my presence.

Didn’t they know Thanksgiving was coming up? Didn’t they know I was planning to eat a relative of theirs? Didn’t they fear that they could end up on the menu?

Apparently not.

Recommended Link
ad_img

Fair Warning: This May Not Be Right For You
Jeff Clark can’t guarantee that this radical retirement plan will be right for you. It’s different… and goes against conventional wisdom. But it helped him retire at 42. And it continues to help him make tens of thousands of dollars every year. Check it out here.

I ventured off the porch and walked out among the feathered creatures. They hardly noticed me.

Oh sure, if I got within a few feet of any of them, the flock would saunter away in the opposite direction. But, rather than cackling and flapping their wings and scattering, they casually just strolled away – putting a little extra distance between us.

Turkeys flocking right outside my home

“Pretty darned relaxed,” I thought – for turkeys to be so fearless and complacent this close to Thanksgiving.

They reminded me of investors.

On Wednesday, the Volatility Index (VIX) – the best tool for measuring fear in the marketplace – fell to 11.49. That’s near its lowest level for the year…

Investors, just like the turkeys that frolicked in my backyard, are relaxed – maybe too relaxed.

Of course, that’s what happens when the stock market makes new highs just about every week. That’s what happens when the biggest declines we get are less than 1%, and the market recovers those losses within just a few days.

Investors, like country club turkeys, stop worrying about the potential dangers of their environment.

We’ve been warning about the danger of complacency a lot lately. But, in a raging bull market, no one really wants to hear that sort of thing.

It’s kind of like the grandmother who hurries through the sand to tell all the teenagers at the beach party to wear sunscreen. The teenagers nod politely and thank her for the advice, but then they roll their eyes once she moves on.

Of course, at the end of the day, someone always gets burned.

Periods of low volatility are ALWAYS followed by periods of high volatility (and vice versa). Right about the time you feel the most comfortable… well… that’s probably about the time where you have the most risk.

The talking heads in the financial media are suggesting there’s nothing to worry about. They’re relaxed… comfortable… And completely unprepared for any sort of downside action.

At this point, though, it may make more sense to cackle, flap our wings wildly, and scatter in all directions.

Otherwise, we might end up as coyote food.

Best regards and good trading,

Jeff Clark

P.S. It’s no secret that I see plenty of volatility ahead. And any long-term investor that doesn’t prepare for it will likely get burned.

But traders will make a killing…

If you’re not trading the market yet, you should start learning soon. I don’t think there’s a better way to profit in the current environment.

And my introductory trading newsletter Jeff Clark Trader – which offers a suite of training resources and monthly trade recommendations – is on sale just this weekend for just $0.99 for the first year.

I haven’t seen any premium newsletter go on sale for that price… EVER. It’s a deal that won’t last long, and that I might not offer again. Learn more about the service, and how to lock in your first year for $0.99, right here.

In Case You Missed It…

Introducing: The Zero Stock Retirement Blueprint

Jeff Clark has come up with a way to potentially make all the money you need to fund a comfortable retirement – without touching stocks.

Or owning bonds… dabbling in real estate… or using any “conventional” retirement vehicle, for that matter.

He calls it the "Zero Stock Retirement Blueprint."

And for the first time…

He’s sharing all the details.